Chances Of Winning 3 Blackjack Hands In A Row
What you mean by losing 10 hands in a row. Some people would mean losing 10 consecutive hands without any hands that win or draw, while other people would ignore draws so that would mean losing 10 hands without winning any. Assuming correct play and relatively common rules, with Wizard of Odds site indicates the odds for any particular hand are.
Were I not so numerically challenged, I suspect I could find a table from the Wizard that would let me figure the odds of this happening. Failing that, what are the odds of hitting three blackjacks in a row in double deck, H17?
Also, is there any data out there on the odds of getting on a streak of winning hands? Odds to win two in a row, three, four, etc.?
- For your example, if your chance of winning an individual hand is $0.49.0.50,0.51$, your chance of losing $12$ in a row is about $0.000310,0.000244,0.000191$. If you lose $12$ in a row, you lose $4095$, so the expectation of a series is $-0.268,0,0.215$ You can't calculate the chance of winning a hand until you specify the strategy you will follow.
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Playing heads-up against the dealer, my first three hands were blackjacks.
I pushed on the fourth hand, and decided that was as good a time as any to color up.
Were I not so numerically challenged, I suspect I could find a table from the Wizard that would let me figure the odds of this happening.
Failing that, what are the odds of hitting three blackjacks in a row in double deck, H17?
The other poster reply assumes the probability of a Blackjack remains constant and we know it does not.
But that does show it to be much more difficult than say 1 in 100 or even 1 in 1000.
The more cards the dealer draws without an Ace or a 10 the higher the probability of you getting 3 in a row naturals.I say between 1 in 11,000 to 1 in 12,000 attempts would be a closer guess.
This could be simulated
Also, is there any data out there on the odds of getting on a streak of winning hands? Odds to win two in a row, three, four, etc.?
http://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/blackjack/2456-streaks-in-blackjack-some-actual-data/hope this helps
Thanks for the information. I knew it was a rare event, but was curious to know how rare.
Shit happens.
The long answer is this:
The odds of it happening, on the very next three hands, are mighty low.
The odds of it happening on your next visit are low. But not nearly as low as for the specific next three hands. How low depends on how long you sit at the table.
Chances Of Winning 3 Blackjack Hands In A Row 4
The odds of it happening at some point within your gambling career are mighty high. I dare say that it's likely to happen several times if you're a fairly regular player...
The probability for hitting 3 naturals in a row in 2-deck game is 0.01091938530493739931408503954244% or once every 9158.024669647216796875 attempts.
Ever hear of 'sig figs'?
The probability for hitting 3 naturals in a row in 2-deck game is 0.01091938530493739931408503954244% or once every 9158.024669647216796875 attempts.
The above numbers are for a game where dealer shuffles after every hand (internet casino).
The probability for 3 BJs in a row from 1 pack (not 2) of 2 decks is 0.007322087038910805810625432793055%. This corresponds to 1 in 13657.308287730414746543778802199 attempts.
The above numbers are for a game where dealer shuffles after every hand (internet casino).
The probability for 3 BJs in a row from 1 pack (not 2) of 2 decks is 0.007322087038910805810625432793055%. This corresponds to 1 in 13657.308287730414746543778802199 attempts.
Odds Of Losing 3 Blackjack Hands In A Row
